This is the single best perspective on the shift and risk in quantum computing.

It has the perfect balance of technical detail, background, skepticism, realism, and, most importantly, risk tradeoffs.

This quote captures it all:

> The job is not to be skeptical of things we're not experts in. The job is to mitigate credible threats, and there are credible experts telling us about an imminent threat.

In summary, it might be that in 10 years the predictions will turn out to be wrong, but at this point they might also be right soon, and that risk is now unacceptable.

I've been skeptical of Q Day for a very long time. But in the same way that I was wrong about the timelines around AGI, it seems I was wrong here too.

[Read more here](https://words.filippo.io/crqc-timeline/).

If this happens in the next 5 to 10 years, digital security is wiped out, and with it, our economy is thrown into chaos. The risk is a revolution unlike anything we've seen before. Luckily, it's preventable.